*19:37JST next quotes in the notable 3 points:新型肺炎 trends, US FOMC minutes of the meetings,1 on Japan the number of international visitors to Japan
■Tokyo Stock Market Outlook
Expected range: upper limit 24000-lower 23250 yen
Next week, the Nikkei Stock Average,patterned view is to continue in less than expected. Market sentiment will continue,新型肺炎 influenced by trends, which is expected to be. China 新型肺炎 of the certification criteria and the change in the number of infected people has increased significantly in the tertiary infection or suspected local cases of confirmed started. The economic impact is concerned, the new coronavirus and the impact of the new economy’s downward risks about the vigilant. Week the first 17 Days of early May announced before 2019, the Year 10−12 on gross domestic product (GDP) bulletins,新型肺炎 of the impact is still considered to be not consumption tax, and 10 months of the Typhoon and the subsequent mild winter and the impact of the weather conditions from the 7−9 month of GDP at a level lower than the potential. Also, the 17th is the US market closed on Thursday,23 October is his birthday in 24 days holiday, with the Tokyo market is a 3-Day weekend to refrain from week, through the restrained mood is strong and. On the other hand, the Nikkei Stock Average 23600 yen near the close as bargain-hunting intensified that trend is continuing, and the adjustment width is limited as well. 2 months as long as the Nikkei Stock Average options SQ (special liquidation index) the calculation of the(liquidation value of 23744. 71 yen)14-day pass, and that the supply and demand in terms of the events they go through. The exchange rate and the Shanghai Composite Index,Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and Asian shares of the motion will return to try the scene again it. In addition, Dow’s trend is also noted. 12 days of trading hours in New York the Dow 30000 dollars and 431. 43 dollars and was. The psychological milestone from Dow 30000 dollars take realize a large topic as the Tokyo market was also positive could work.
Ransacked by the 3-month period of companies in the 3rd quarter centered on the earnings announcement is completed, the results of a brand Review buying is deployed to expect there. In addition to this, co・Manager<2670>And software<2685>Yoshinoya Holdings Co., Ltd<9861>Such as the 2-month period financial results of the companies dividends, to shareholders of rights to take the movement of the strong expectations there. High dividend yield stocks in attention is likely to swell. Also, the 14 day of the market last year at 10 month highs 1950 yen was thin SUMCO<3436>Such as semiconductor,the same 1 month highs approaching or Taiyo Yuden<6976>Such as the 5G(fifth generation mobile communications system)related to the movement is strong and continues ransacked a popular lead and help them.
The main economy related schedule is 17 Days, 10-12 year on year GDP preliminary estimates, January 1, Metropolitan new condominium launch on the 19th, 12 on machinery orders,1 on trade statistics,1 month visit to Japan number of international visitors to Japan,21 October to 1 November the National Consumer Price Index,12 month all industry activity index for each will be announced so. On the other hand, the United States, such as major overseas schedule, the 17th is President’s day (Washington’s birthday)in the US market is closed on the 18th, rice 2 August NY Fed Manufacturing Index,US 2 October NAHB housing market index, November 19 rice 1 Production those prices, rice 1 on housing starts,U.S. 1 on construction permits,1 March 28・29, hosted by the FOMC meeting minutes,20 November the rice in 2 month the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Sentiment Index,U.S. 1 on the CB Leading Economic composite index,21-day rice to 1 month pending home sales number is scheduled.
■The foreign exchange market prospects
Next week the dollar・yen is sluggish. The United States economic climate is tolerably good, the main stock index recorded the record high bull market has continued. The Eurozone economy further slowing down of receive dollars (U.S.)to Fund inflow and formation have. However, a new type of virus infection, the damage is not expanding, the future of China’s economic growth slowdown is expected to impact on the global economy, also concerned. The market in vaccine development, such as early convergence to the expectations of the last of the ones announced this week that major US economic indicators are below market expectations or if risk appetite by buying dollars is forecast to decrease.
2 on 11-12th made Powell the Federal Reserve (FED)according to congressional testimony, the U.S. economic impact for a specific judge saw a certain impact expected is obvious. Trump the US President is more of policy interest rate lowering to mention a further rate cut pressure, and more. 19 to be published in the Federal Open Market Committee(FOMC)minutes of the meetings (1 on 28-29 held a minute)in the economy about the prospects cautious opinion contains a lot of if the future interest rate cuts observed rise may be. In that case, the U. S military is just as important to do so.
■Next week the attention of the schedule
2 on 17 (Monday): day・to-GDP preliminary(10-12 October)・industrial production・capacity utilization,Singapore and Thailand・GDP, Medium・new housing price, U.S.・the stock market is for the holidays closed(Washington’s birth anniversary), etc
2 on 18 September(Tue): Euro Zone New Car Sales,UK unemployment rate, German ZEW expectations index,New York Fed Manufacturing Index,US・NAHB Housing Market Index・U.S. Securities and investment income, such as
2 on 19 October (Wed): day・trade・core machine orders in Japan number of international visitors to Japan, South Africa・CPI,Eurozone current account,UK CPI core index・producer prices yield the core index, Turkey Reserve Bank interest rate announcement, US housing starts,Us producer prices, core CPI,US FOMC minutes of the meetings, such as
2 month 20 days (Thursday):December, machine tools orders, Australia・unemployment rate, Indonesia Central Bank is the interest rate announcement, Eurozone consumer confidence,US economic Leading Index, the ECB proceedings published as
2 March 21 (Fri):days・various PMI・nationwide Department store sales・the core CPI index, Germany・Europe・UK・US various PMI,US Existing home sales number, plus・retail sales, such as
2 on 22 November (sat):Rice・President of the Nevada Democrats rally, Saudi Arabia・the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank governors meeting(23 days)such as《SK》